Poker Machine Odds Australia
Poker machines cannot think or remember. The machine accepts any credit bets. It then randomly determines the position of the symbols on the video display to produce an outcome, which is completely unrelated to the previous game's outcome. If the machine determines a win, credits are paid. South Australia 1300 131 340 Tasmania 1800 811 994 Victoria 1800 888 236 (DirectLine). There is a better chance of being struck by lightning than winning the jackpot on a poker machine. Improving the odds. It may seem like playing on the same machine or game will increase your likelihood of winning but this isn’t the case.
- How To Win On Poker Machines In Australia
- Online Poker Australia
- Poker Machine Odds Australian Open
- Poker Odds Table
- Aristocrat is the second biggest pokie manufacturer in the world - only behind America’s International Game Technology company - and it is well known in Australia and around the planet as a major player in the field of gaming machine manufacture. It is Australia’s biggest manufacturer of gambling machines and is an ASX100-listed company.
- This article recommends solid online replacements for 20 of the most well known poker machines found here in Australia. I don't suggest that these game listed below are the most popular based on any real deep scientific study, but I know what I see occupying the good positions in clubs and casinos and have verified this against data that the.
CLICK TO PLAY
More Games Select from 19 different video poker variations with the button, including Jacks or Better, Bonus, Double Double, Triple Double, Full Pay Deuces, 16/10 (Not So Ugly) Deuces, Loose Deuces, three kinds of Joker Poker, and more. Keyboard You can use the mouse to click on cards to hold, or you may find it easier to use the keyboard: [1-5] = Hold/Cancel [Space] or [Enter] = Deal/Draw [T] = Trainer on/warn/off Trainer When the trainer is turned on, it lists the best plays and their average expected wins on the left. The CHANGE CARDS button allows you to explore the best play returns for hands that you enter. Yellow dots on the corners of the cards show the best cards to hold. The statistics on the right show your playing time, speed of play, the theoretical payback percentage of the game with perfect play, the projected payback percentage with your plays, and the cost of errors. Warn Mode You won't learn as much if you leave the trainer on all the time and just copy its answers, so we recommend playing with the trainer in WARN mode. In WARN mode, the trainer will only come on if you make a mistake, showing you the better play and giving you a chance to change your answer. However, the statistics on the right will still reflect your first answer, so you can see how you're doing without the trainer's help. | View Log Whether the trainer is on or not, the game keeps track of your statistics and a log of your play, which you can review by clicking VIEW LOG. If you were playing in WARN mode, the log reflects your first answer. The log shows the cards that were dealt, the best play, your play, and the cost of any errors you made. You can learn a lot by playing with the trainer off, then reviewing the log to see what you missed. 2x Pay To make things more fun, the game defaults to 2X PAY mode, so you get twice as many credits when you win. The trainer stats ignore the extra credits and record your wins as if they were the normal amount. If you prefer to play the traditional way, click on 2X PAY to switch to the standard 1X PAY. Paytable Edit Other paytable variations can be entered by clicking the numbers in the 1st or 5th columns of the paytable and using the up/down arrows to adjust the pays. The total payout is limited to 109.9%, so you may need to lower a payline before you can raise another. Be aware that the trainer adapts its best play recommendations to changes you make to the paytable. For example, if you raise the royal flush value, the trainer will adjust its recommendations in favor of cards that shoot for the royal more often. |
Free Slots Winners List Sweepstakes Rules Privacy Policy Terms of Use Google
Copyright © 2004-2007 SimSlots, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
I never play slot machines. If I want to play at a gambling machine, I usually stick with real money video poker.
I have various reasons for this, but one of the most important reasons is because the odds of winning at video poker are far better than the odds of winning at a slot machine game.
How do you know what the odds of winning on a video poker machine are? I can offer some guidance in this post. To learn more, keep reading below.
Probability and Video Poker
Before you can calculate the probability of winning at video poker, you need to understand some of the basics of probability math.
The first and most important thing to understand is that an event’s probability is just a number between 0 and 1. The closer that number gets to 1, the likelier it is to happen.
By definition, something with a probability of 0 will never happen. Also by definition, something with a probability of 1 will always happen.
How To Win On Poker Machines In Australia
And if you add the probability of something happening with the probability of it not happening, you’ll also always get a total of 1.
That probability can be expressed in multiple formats, but the most useful formats are odds and percentages.
Everyone knows what a percentage is. It’s just a measure of how many times out of 100 you expect something to happen. If something happens 20% of the time, that means it happens 20 times out of every 100.
Odds, on the other hand, can measure probability. But they also measure the amount a bet pays out. Something with a 20% probability of happening has odds of 4 to 1. You have four ways it can happen and one way that it can’t.
Like other fractions, odds can be reduced. To get to that 4 to 1, we just converted 20% into 20/100, which reduces down to 1/5. That means it happens 1 out of 5 times.
Gambling Machines Measure Their Odds in Terms of Payback Percentage
When you’re dealing with a slot machine, you have a variety of symbols on each reel, each of which comes up a certain percentage of the time. You don’t have any way of estimating how often that symbol will show up, but the slot machine manufacturer knows.
When they take all the possible combinations and their percentages of coming up, they balance that against the payout for each of those combinations to create a profitable game for themselves.
Let’s say you have a really simple slot machine game with four potential winning combinations:
- You’ll get three bars 25% of the time and win even money.
- You’ll get three cherries 10% of the time and win 2 for 1.
- You’ll get three plums 5% of the time and win 3 for 1.
- You’ll get three pumpkins 1% of the time and win 5 for 1.
It’s easy to calculate the expected return (another phrase for “payback percentage”) for a game like this.
You start by calculating the expected value for each of the possible prizes. You just multiply the probability of winning by the amount you’ll win.
- 25% x 1 unit = 25%
- 10% x 2 units = 20%
- 5% x 3 units = 15%
- 1% x 5 units = 5%
Add those up, and you have the payback percentage for the game:
Over time, on average, you’ll get back 65 cents for every dollar you bet on that slot machine game.
In the short run, over an hour or so, you might win some money or lose more than that. But over time, your average should get close to this.
The Advantage of Video Poker Over Slot Machines
My problem with slot machines is that they’re the only game in the casino where you don’t know what the odds of winning are.
When I’m rolling a pair of dice, I can calculate the probability of winning. When I’m playing blackjack, I can estimate the odds of winning, because I know what the odds of getting specific cards are. When I’m playing roulette, I know how many red and black outcomes are on the wheel.
But since slot machines are run by a random number generator, I have no way of knowing what the probability of getting three cherries in a row is. It could be 8 to 1, 16 to 1, or 1000 to 1.
All I know for sure is that the odds of getting each payout are lower than the payout odds for that combination.
Video poker, on the other hand, is based on a deck of 52 cards. I know how many of each card is in the deck, so I can estimate the odds of getting specific combinations.
When you combine that knowledge of probability with knowledge of the payouts for those combinations, you wind up with the payback percentage of the game.
Jacks or Better Is the Original Video Poker Game
For the most part, all video poker games are just variations of Jacks or Better. It’s a simple enough game. You bet between 1 and 5 coins and get dealt a virtual five-card poker hand. You then decide which of those five cards you want to discard and which you want to keep. The machine deals you replacement cards and pays off your bet based on the poker hand you wind up with.
The best possible hand is a royal flush, which pays off at 800 for 1 odds if you bet five coins. If you’ve bet fewer coins than that, it only pays off at 200 for 1 or 250 for 1, depending on the machine.
Online Poker Australia
So, you should always bet the full five coins to take advantage of that higher payout. If you play with something approaching optimal strategy, you should get a winning hand about 45% of the time on a Jacks or Better video poker game.
That’s the short answer to “what are the odds of winning on a video poker machine,” by the way. It’s roughly 45%. But that’s not going deep enough. You should know more about it than that.
Since we know the probability of winding up with various combinations of cards, we can calculate the overall payback percentage for such a game. You just do the same calculations we did for the simple slot machine above.
Poker Machine Odds Australian Open
You multiply the probability of winning each prize by the amount of that prize and add them all together to get your payback percentage.
- A pair of jacks or better comes up about 21% of the time and pays off at 1 for 1.
- Two pair comes up about 13% of the time and pays off at 2 for 1.
- Three of a kind comes up about 7%of the time and pays off at 3 for 1.
- A straight comes up about 1% of the time and pays off at 4 for 1.
- A flush comes up about 1% of the time and pays off at 6 for 1.
- A full house comes up about 1% of the time and pays off at 9 for 1.
- A four of a kind comes up about 0.2% of the time and pays off at 25 for 1.
- A straight flush comes up about 0.01% of the time and pays off at 50 for 1.
- A royal flush comes up about 0.002% of the time and pays off at 800 for 1.
Multiply those and add them all up, and you have a game with a payback percentage of about 99.5%.
But Not All Video Poker Games Are the Same
Of course, Jacks or Better is just one variation of video poker. You can find dozens of different video poker variations on the market. All of them are based on Jacks or Better, though.
With some of these variations, the big difference is the inclusion of wild cards. In Joker Poker, the game uses a 53-card deck with a joker that acts as a wild card. In Deuces Wild, the deck has the same 52 cards in it, but the twos are wild cards.
With games like these, the payouts for the various hands change based on how much more likely the higher hands are to appear.
But that’s not the only way casinos and game manufacturers vary their video poker games. They also change the payouts on various hands.
If they change those payouts enough, you get a different game. Bonus Poker, Double Bonus Poker, and Bonus Bonus Poker are basically variations of Jacks or Better that provide higher payouts for four of a kind hands of a certain ranking.
But even within a single narrow band of a game, like Jacks or Better, you can find multiple pay tables available. The differences in these pay tables change the payback percentage for the game.
With Jacks or Better, the pay table I used as an example is the best possible example. When manufacturers want to create a Jacks or Better game with better odds for the house, they have smaller payouts for the full house and the flush. Changing those payouts from 9 and 6 to 8 and 5 reduces the payback percentage from 99.5% to 97%.
Your Decisions Matter
One of the other fun things I like about video poker is that your decisions have an effect on the outcome. These payback percentages that I mention assume that you’re playing your cards optimally. In other words, you’re making the right decisions about which cards to keep and which ones to throw away.
Poker Odds Table
Imagine what your payout would be if you broke a pair every time you got one. Can you see why that would hurt your results in the long run?
Conclusion
What are the odds of winning at video poker? On a single hand, on most games, it’s about 45%. But that only tells a small part of the story.
Video poker offers a nearly endless amount of complexity when it comes to payback percentages and correct strategy. It’s a game worth learning to play.